Every day, millions of people indulge in the delightful offerings of Mondelez International, where iconic brands like Oreo and Toblerone transform ordinary moments into extraordinary experiences. As a prominent player in the food confectionery industry, Mondelez not only leads with innovation but also maintains a reputation for quality that resonates globally. With its expansive portfolio and strategic market presence, I find myself questioning whether the company’s current fundamentals still support its market valuation and future growth potential.

MDLZ Featured Image
Table of contents

Company Description

Mondelez International, Inc. is a leading player in the global snack food industry, recognized for its diverse portfolio of beloved brands. Founded in 2000 and headquartered in Chicago, IL, Mondelez operates across key markets in North America, Latin America, Europe, Asia, the Middle East, and Africa. The company specializes in manufacturing and marketing an array of products, including biscuits, chocolates, gums, and powdered beverages, with iconic brands like Oreo, Cadbury, and Trident. With approximately 90K employees, Mondelez employs multiple distribution channels, including direct retail and e-commerce. Its strategic focus on innovation and sustainability positions Mondelez as a pivotal force in shaping consumer snacking trends worldwide.

Fundamental Analysis

In this section, I will analyze Mondelez International, Inc.’s income statement, financial ratios, and dividend payout policy to provide a clear picture of its financial health.

Income Statement

Below is the income statement for Mondelez International, Inc. (MDLZ) for the last five fiscal years, detailing the company’s key financial metrics.

income statement
Metric20202021202220232024
Revenue26.58B28.72B31.50B36.02B36.44B
Cost of Revenue16.14B17.47B20.18B22.25B22.18B
Operating Expenses6.59B6.60B7.78B8.26B7.91B
Gross Profit10.44B11.25B11.31B13.76B14.26B
EBITDA4.92B5.85B4.76B7.65B8.07B
EBIT3.81B4.73B3.66B6.43B6.77B
Interest Expense0.42B0.37B0.43B0.55B0.51B
Net Income3.56B4.30B2.72B4.96B4.61B
EPS2.483.061.973.643.44
Filing Date2021-02-052022-02-042023-02-032024-02-022025-02-05

Interpretation of Income Statement

Over the past five years, Mondelez has shown a consistent upward trend in Revenue, increasing from 26.58B in 2020 to 36.44B in 2024, while Net Income has remained relatively stable, peaking at 4.96B in 2023 before slightly declining to 4.61B in 2024. The Gross Profit margin has improved, indicating better cost management, despite fluctuations in Operating Expenses. In 2024, while Revenue continued to grow, Net Income saw a small decrease, suggesting that profit margins may be tightening, potentially due to rising costs or strategic investments. As an investor, I recommend closely monitoring these trends to evaluate the company’s ongoing profitability and operational efficiency.

Financial Ratios

Here is a summary of the financial ratios for Mondelez International, Inc. (MDLZ) over the most recent years.

Financial Ratios20202021202220232024
Net Margin13.37%14.97%8.63%13.77%12.65%
ROE12.89%15.21%10.11%17.50%17.12%
ROIC5.18%6.73%4.69%7.65%9.44%
P/E23.5421.6433.8019.9117.37
P/B3.033.293.423.482.97
Current Ratio0.660.740.600.620.68
Quick Ratio0.480.540.400.430.48
D/E0.740.710.880.700.68
Debt-to-Assets30.25%29.77%33.08%27.94%26.82%
Interest Coverage9.1112.758.2610.0012.49
Asset Turnover0.390.430.440.500.53
Fixed Asset Turnover2.753.103.253.473.56
Dividend Yield2.01%1.96%2.16%2.18%2.93%

Interpretation of Financial Ratios

Mondelez International, Inc. (MDLZ) exhibits a mixed financial profile for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2024. Liquidity ratios, such as the current ratio (0.68) and quick ratio (0.48), indicate potential short-term liquidity concerns, suggesting that the company may struggle to meet its short-term obligations. The solvency ratio stands at 0.14, reflecting a moderate level of debt relative to assets, although the debt-to-equity ratio of 0.68 may raise caution regarding financial leverage. Profitability ratios show strength with a net profit margin of 12.65% and an EBITDA margin of 22.15%, indicating effective cost management. However, the price-to-earnings ratio of 17.37 suggests the stock may be fairly valued, requiring careful consideration for entry points.

Evolution of Financial Ratios

Over the past five years, MDLZ has shown a gradual improvement in profitability ratios, with net profit margins increasing from 8.63% in 2020 to 12.65% in 2024. However, liquidity ratios have consistently remained below 0.70, indicating persistent challenges in managing short-term liabilities effectively.

Distribution Policy

Mondelez International, Inc. (MDLZ) maintains a consistent dividend policy, currently offering a dividend per share of $1.75, with a payout ratio of approximately 51%. The annual dividend yield stands at 2.93%, indicating a commitment to returning value to shareholders. Additionally, MDLZ engages in share buybacks, enhancing shareholder value. While the dividend is supported by free cash flow, investors should monitor potential risks of unsustainable distributions if profitability declines. Overall, this distribution strategy appears aligned with long-term value creation.

Sector Analysis

Mondelez International, Inc. operates in the Food Confectioners industry, offering a diverse snack portfolio that includes well-known brands like Oreo and Cadbury, positioning it strongly against competitors.

Strategic Positioning

Mondelez International, Inc. (MDLZ) holds a significant market share in the food confectionery sector, driven by a robust portfolio of iconic brands such as Oreo, Cadbury, and Toblerone. With a market capitalization of approximately $70.9B, it faces competitive pressure from both established players and emerging brands. The industry’s landscape is also influenced by technological disruptions, especially in e-commerce and supply chain efficiencies. However, with a beta of 0.397, Mondelez demonstrates resilience against market volatility, making it a potentially stable addition to an investment portfolio.

Revenue by Segment

The following chart illustrates Mondelez International’s revenue distribution across its various segments for the fiscal year 2024, highlighting key areas of business performance.

revenue by segment

In fiscal year 2024, Mondelez’s revenue was predominantly driven by the Biscuits segment, generating $17.8B, while Chocolate followed with $11.2B. Notably, the Beverages segment saw a decline from $1.18B in 2023 to $1.1B, reflecting a slight contraction. The Cheese and Grocery segment also experienced growth, increasing to $2.26B, up from $2.16B in 2023. Overall, the company’s performance indicates solid growth in core areas, although the decrease in Beverages raises potential concerns regarding market saturation and competition within that segment.

Key Products

Mondelez International, Inc. offers a diverse range of snack food and beverage products. Below is a table highlighting some of their key products and descriptions:

ProductDescription
Cadbury ChocolateA popular chocolate brand known for its rich and creamy texture, available in various flavors.
Oreo CookiesIconic sandwich cookies with a unique cream filling, often enjoyed with milk or as a dessert base.
belVita BiscuitsBreakfast biscuits designed to provide sustained energy throughout the morning, available in various flavors.
TobleroneDistinctive triangular chocolate bar with honey and almond nougat, known for its unique shape and taste.
Halls CandiesA range of throat lozenges and cough drops available in various flavors to soothe sore throats.
Trident GumsSugar-free chewing gum available in multiple flavors, promoting oral health while providing a refreshing taste.
Tang Powdered BeverageA powdered drink mix that offers a fruity flavor, popular for its convenience and ease of preparation.

These products illustrate Mondelez’s commitment to innovation and quality in the snack food industry.

Main Competitors

The competitive landscape in the food confectioners industry is quite dynamic, with several key players vying for market share. Below is a table of the main competitors, including Mondelez International, Inc., sorted by descending market capitalization:

CompanyMarket Cap
Altria Group, Inc.97.36B
Monster Beverage Corporation72.05B
Mondelez International, Inc.70.87B
Colgate-Palmolive Company62.93B
Diageo plc49.15B
Coca-Cola Europacific Partners PLC41.65B
The Kroger Co.41.56B
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc.38.98B
The Hershey Company36.97B
Sysco Corporation35.44B
Kellanova28.93B

In summary, the main competitors in the global food confectioners market include Altria Group and Monster Beverage, alongside Mondelez International. Each of these companies has a strong presence and diverse product portfolios, contributing to a competitive environment across North America and beyond.

Competitive Advantages

Mondelez International, Inc. (MDLZ) boasts a robust portfolio with iconic brands like Oreo and Cadbury, providing significant brand loyalty and recognition. Their global reach across diverse markets allows them to capitalize on emerging trends in snack consumption and health-conscious eating. Looking ahead, Mondelez is focused on expanding its product line with innovative offerings in healthier snacks and sustainability-focused packaging. Additionally, their strong e-commerce strategy positions them well to tap into growing online sales channels, ensuring they remain competitive in an evolving market landscape.

SWOT Analysis

This analysis aims to provide a strategic overview of Mondelez International, Inc. by identifying its strengths, weaknesses, opportunities, and threats.

Strengths

  • Strong brand portfolio
  • Global market presence
  • Robust distribution network

Weaknesses

  • Dependence on specific markets
  • Vulnerability to commodity price fluctuations
  • Limited diversification

Opportunities

  • Expansion into emerging markets
  • Growth in health-conscious snacks
  • E-commerce growth

Threats

  • Intense competition
  • Regulatory changes
  • Economic downturns

The overall SWOT assessment indicates that Mondelez has a solid foundation with its brand and global reach, but it must navigate market dependencies and fierce competition. Focusing on emerging opportunities could enhance its strategic positioning while mitigating potential threats.

Stock Analysis

Over the past year, Mondelez International, Inc. (MDLZ) has experienced notable price movements that reflect a broader bearish trend in its stock performance, with significant fluctuations influencing investor sentiment.

stock price

Trend Analysis

Analyzing the stock’s performance over the past year reveals a percentage change of -24.91%. This indicates a bearish trend, as the stock has demonstrated a consistent decline. Notably, the stock reached a high of 76.87 and a low of 54.91, with the trend showing a deceleration in its downward movement. The standard deviation of 5.03 suggests moderate volatility, indicating that while the stock has experienced significant fluctuations, the trend has not accelerated.

Volume Analysis

In the last three months, total trading volume reached approximately 4.42B shares. The volume trend is increasing, yet the analysis indicates a seller-driven market, with seller volume at 2.28B compared to buyer volume of 2.12B, resulting in a buyer percentage of 47.94%. This suggests that investor sentiment may lean towards caution, as sellers currently dominate trading activity.

Analyst Opinions

Recent analyst recommendations for Mondelez International, Inc. (MDLZ) have been generally positive, with a consensus rating of “Buy.” Analysts highlight the company’s strong discounted cash flow and solid return on equity, which stand at scores of 5 and 4, respectively. Despite a lower debt-to-equity score of 1, experts like those at Morningstar emphasize Mondelez’s robust market position and potential for growth. Overall, the sentiment remains bullish as analysts anticipate continued strong performance in 2025.

Stock Grades

Recent stock ratings for Mondelez International, Inc. (MDLZ) indicate a stable outlook among several reputable grading companies. Below is a summary of the latest grades provided:

Grading CompanyActionNew GradeDate
Piper SandlerMaintainNeutral2025-11-21
DA DavidsonMaintainNeutral2025-11-10
BarclaysMaintainOverweight2025-10-30
BernsteinMaintainOutperform2025-10-29
StifelMaintainBuy2025-10-29
MizuhoMaintainOutperform2025-10-29
RBC CapitalMaintainOutperform2025-10-29
Piper SandlerMaintainNeutral2025-10-29
Wells FargoMaintainOverweight2025-10-29
B of A SecuritiesMaintainBuy2025-10-29

Overall, the trend in grades for MDLZ shows a mix of “Neutral,” “Buy,” and “Outperform” ratings, with several analysts maintaining their positions. This suggests a generally stable sentiment in the market, indicating that investors may find a balanced opportunity in these ratings.

Target Prices

The consensus target price for Mondelez International, Inc. (MDLZ) reflects a balanced outlook from analysts.

Target HighTarget LowConsensus
846269.73

Overall, analysts expect Mondelez’s stock to trade around the consensus of 69.73, with a potential range between 62 and 84.

Consumer Opinions

Consumer sentiment about Mondelez International, Inc. (MDLZ) reflects a mix of appreciation for its product variety and some concerns regarding pricing and health aspects.

Positive ReviewsNegative Reviews
“Great variety of snacks that cater to all tastes!”“Prices seem to be rising too quickly.”
“I love the quality of the chocolate products.”“Some products have too much sugar for my liking.”
“Convenient packaging makes it easy to enjoy on-the-go.”“Customer service experience was disappointing.”

Overall, consumer feedback highlights Mondelez’s strengths in product variety and quality, while recurring weaknesses involve concerns about pricing and healthiness of some items.

Risk Analysis

In this section, I present a table summarizing the potential risks associated with investing in Mondelez International, Inc. (MDLZ).

CategoryDescriptionProbabilityImpact
Market VolatilityFluctuations in consumer demand affecting sales.HighHigh
Supply ChainDisruptions in supply chains due to geopolitical issues.MediumHigh
RegulatoryChanges in food safety regulations impacting production.MediumMedium
Currency RiskFluctuations in foreign exchange rates affecting revenues.HighMedium
CompetitionIncreasing competition from emerging snack brands.HighMedium

The most significant risks for MDLZ include market volatility and supply chain disruptions, especially in light of recent geopolitical tensions that could affect operations and profitability.

Should You Buy Mondelez International, Inc.?

Mondelez International, Inc. (MDLZ) exhibits strong profitability with a net profit margin of 12.65% for 2024. The company is creating value as its return on invested capital (ROIC) of 9.44% exceeds its weighted average cost of capital (WACC) of 5.04%, indicating effective capital utilization. With total debt of 18.37B and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.25, it maintains a moderate leverage level. The overall rating for Mondelez is B+, reflecting solid fundamentals and growth potential, yet investors may consider monitoring its debt levels and market conditions moving forward.

Favorable signals

In my analysis of Mondelez International, Inc. (MDLZ), I found several favorable signals. The gross margin stands at 39.12%, indicating a strong ability to convert revenue into profit. Additionally, the ebit margin is favorable at 18.58%, alongside a favorable net margin of 12.65%. The company’s return on equity is also strong at 17.12%. Furthermore, I noted a favorable interest coverage ratio of 13.32 and a favorable dividend yield of 2.93%.

Unfavorable signals

However, there are some unfavorable elements to consider. The revenue growth is low at 1.18%, while both net margin growth at -8.1% and EPS growth at -5.52% indicate declining performance in these areas. Additionally, the current ratio of 0.68 and quick ratio of 0.48 suggest potential liquidity concerns.

Conclusion

Taking into account both the favorable and unfavorable signals, the overall income statement opinion is favorable, and the ratios evaluation is also favorable. However, the long-term price trend is bearish, which might suggest waiting for buyers to return before making any decisions regarding investments in this stock.

Disclaimer: This article is not financial advice. Each investor is responsible for their own investment decisions.

Additional Resources

For more information about Mondelez International, Inc., please visit the official website: mondelezinternational.com