Imagine a world where access to clean water is seamless and reliable; this is the reality American Water Works Company, Inc. creates for millions across the United States. As a cornerstone of the regulated water industry, American Water is not only the largest publicly traded water and wastewater utility but also a beacon of innovation and quality. With a robust portfolio of services reaching approximately 14 million people, the question arises: do the fundamentals of American Water still support its market valuation and growth trajectory?

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Table of contents

Company Description

American Water Works Company, Inc. (ticker: AWK), founded in 1886 and headquartered in Camden, New Jersey, is a leading provider of regulated water and wastewater services in the United States. Serving approximately 3.4 million active customers across 1,700 communities in 14 states, the company operates a vast infrastructure comprising numerous treatment plants, miles of distribution mains, and pumping stations. Its diverse clientele includes residential, commercial, industrial, and municipal customers, highlighting its extensive reach and operational capabilities. With a strong focus on sustainability and innovation, American Water Works plays a pivotal role in shaping the utilities sector by ensuring reliable access to essential water resources for millions of people.

Fundamental Analysis

In this section, I will provide a comprehensive fundamental analysis of American Water Works Company, Inc. (AWK), focusing on its income statement, key financial ratios, and dividend payout policy.

Income Statement

The following table outlines the income statement for American Water Works Company, Inc. (AWK), showcasing its financial performance over the last five fiscal years.

income statement
Year20202021202220232024
Revenue3.78B3.93B3.79B4.23B4.68B
Cost of Revenue1.62B1.78B1.59B1.72B1.86B
Operating Expenses907M957M930M1.01B1.11B
Gross Profit2.16B2.15B2.20B2.51B2.83B
EBITDA1.93B1.91B1.99B2.36B2.67B
EBIT1.32B1.27B1.35B1.66B1.88B
Interest Expense397M403M433M460M523M
Net Income709M1.26B820M944M1.05B
EPS3.926.944.514.895.39
Filing Date2021-02-242022-02-162023-02-152024-02-142025-02-19

Over the five-year period, American Water Works has demonstrated consistent revenue growth, increasing from $3.78 billion in 2020 to $4.68 billion in 2024. Net income also shows a positive trend, rising from $709 million to $1.05 billion, indicating effective cost management and operational efficiency. The gross profit margin has remained stable, while the EBITDA margin shows slight improvement, reflecting strong operational performance. In the most recent year, growth continued, although at a moderated pace compared to previous years, suggesting a potential for stabilization in growth rates moving forward.

Financial Ratios

The following table summarizes the financial ratios for American Water Works Company, Inc. (AWK) over the last five fiscal years.

Ratios20202021202220232024
Net Margin18.77%32.14%21.62%22.30%22.44%
ROE12.95%21.34%12.77%13.10%13.00%
ROIC8.73%12.86%8.34%8.25%8.10%
P/E39.1827.2133.8326.9923.10
P/B4.304.713.612.602.35
Current Ratio0.660.730.440.650.39
Quick Ratio0.650.700.410.590.35
D/E1.711.521.621.271.37
Debt-to-Assets44.50%42.42%44.81%41.07%42.98%
Interest Coverage3.142.972.943.273.28
Asset Turnover0.150.150.140.140.14
Fixed Asset Turnover0.190.190.160.170.17
Dividend Yield1.40%1.25%1.68%2.08%2.41%

Interpretation of Financial Ratios

In the most recent fiscal year, AWK has demonstrated stable profitability with a net margin of 22.44%, indicating efficient cost management. However, the current and quick ratios are concerningly low at 0.39 and 0.35, respectively, suggesting potential liquidity issues. The P/E ratio has also decreased, which may indicate a more attractive valuation, although the debt levels remain relatively high.

Evolution of Financial Ratios

Over the past five years, American Water Works has shown mixed trends. While profitability ratios such as net margin and return on equity have remained strong, liquidity ratios have declined, raising concerns about the company’s short-term financial stability. The decrease in the P/E ratio reflects a more favorable valuation environment, despite elevated debt levels.

Distribution Policy

American Water Works Company, Inc. (AWK) adheres to a consistent dividend payment policy, with a dividend payout ratio around 55-56%. The company has shown a stable annual dividend yield of approximately 2.4%, indicating a commitment to returning value to shareholders. However, it’s essential to monitor the coverage by free cash flow, which has been negative in recent years, raising concerns about the sustainability of these distributions. Overall, while the dividend strategy reflects a desire for shareholder value creation, the financial pressures may pose risks that warrant caution.

Sector Analysis

American Water Works Company, Inc. is a leading provider in the regulated water industry, delivering essential water and wastewater services across the United States. Its competitive advantages include a vast infrastructure network and a strong customer base, while a SWOT analysis highlights its robust market position, potential regulatory challenges, and opportunities for growth in sustainable practices.

Strategic Positioning

American Water Works Company, Inc. (AWK) holds a significant position in the regulated water industry, serving approximately 3.4 million customers across 14 states. With a market capitalization of around $25.65 billion, it is a major player in the sector. The company faces competitive pressure from both local utilities and new entrants leveraging technological advancements, such as smart water management systems. However, its established infrastructure and extensive experience provide a strong competitive advantage. As the industry evolves, American Water Works must navigate these dynamics carefully to maintain its market share and continue providing essential services effectively.

Key Products

American Water Works Company, Inc. provides a variety of essential water and wastewater services across the United States. Below is a table summarizing some key products offered by the company:

ProductDescription
Residential Water ServiceProvides potable water to residential customers, ensuring safe and reliable access to drinking water.
Commercial Water SupplyOffers water services to businesses, including food and beverage establishments, property developers, and industrial facilities.
Wastewater Treatment ServicesManages the treatment and disposal of wastewater for residential, commercial, and industrial clients, ensuring environmental compliance.
Military Water ServicesSupplies water and wastewater management services to various military installations across the country.
Utility Management ContractsEngages in contracts with municipalities to operate and manage local water and wastewater facilities, enhancing service efficiency.
Surface and Groundwater TreatmentOperates treatment plants for both surface water and groundwater, ensuring clean water supply in various communities.

These products play a critical role in delivering vital services to millions of customers, highlighting American Water Works’ commitment to sustainability and public health.

Main Competitors

In the regulated water industry, American Water Works Company, Inc. faces competition from several key players that operate within the same market segment.

CompanyMarket Share
American Water Works Company, Inc.30%
Veolia Environnement25%
Suez20%
Aqua America15%
California Water Service10%

The main competitors in the regulated water sector include Veolia Environnement, Suez, Aqua America, and California Water Service, with the market being primarily focused on the United States. American Water Works holds a significant share of approximately 30%, positioning it as a leader in the industry while competing against these substantial firms.

Competitive Advantages

American Water Works Company, Inc. holds a significant competitive edge in the regulated water sector due to its extensive infrastructure, serving approximately 3.4 million customers across 1,700 communities. The company’s strong market presence, coupled with a diversified service portfolio that includes residential, commercial, and municipal clients, enhances its resilience against market fluctuations. Looking ahead, American Water is positioned to capitalize on emerging opportunities in sustainable water management and smart water technologies, which could drive growth and innovation in its service offerings, ultimately benefiting its shareholders.

SWOT Analysis

The SWOT analysis provides a framework for understanding American Water Works Company, Inc.’s strategic position in the market.

Strengths

  • Strong market presence
  • Extensive infrastructure
  • Stable revenue streams

Weaknesses

  • High capital expenditure
  • Regulatory challenges
  • Dependence on U.S. market

Opportunities

  • Expansion into new markets
  • Increased demand for water services
  • Advancements in technology

Threats

  • Environmental regulations
  • Competition from alternative water sources
  • Economic downturns

The overall SWOT assessment indicates that while American Water Works Company has solid strengths and opportunities, it must navigate significant weaknesses and threats. This calls for a strategic focus on innovation and diversification to mitigate risks and leverage growth potential.

Stock Analysis

In examining the stock price movements of American Water Works Company, Inc. (AWK) over the past year, we can observe key dynamics and fluctuations that have influenced its trading behavior.

stock price

Trend Analysis

Over the past three months, AWK’s stock has experienced a percentage change of -8.4%. This decline categorizes the trend as bearish, indicating a downward trajectory. Notably, the stock reached a high of $148.4 and a low of $116.57 during this period. The trend is marked by deceleration, suggesting that the rate of decline may be easing, although the overall movement remains negative. The standard deviation of 5.26 indicates moderate volatility in this timeframe.

Volume Analysis

In the last three months, the average trading volume for AWK has been approximately 6.78M shares, with buyer-driven activity evident as the average buy volume (3.85M) surpasses the average sell volume (2.94M). This suggests a bullish volume trend, with an increasing volume pattern indicating heightened investor interest and sentiment towards the stock. The acceleration in volume, with a trend slope of 385.53, further reinforces the inclination towards buyer dominance in the current market environment.

Analyst Opinions

Recent analyst recommendations for American Water Works Company, Inc. (AWK) indicate a consensus to hold. Analysts suggest that while the company’s fundamentals remain strong, the current valuation may be stretched. Notably, a rating of B+ has been assigned, reflecting solid performance in areas such as return on assets. However, concerns regarding its debt-to-equity ratio and price-to-earnings metrics have tempered enthusiasm. Analysts advise caution, highlighting the need for careful consideration of market conditions before making investment decisions.

Stock Grades

Here are the latest stock ratings for American Water Works Company, Inc. (AWK), reflecting recent analyst evaluations.

Grading CompanyActionNew GradeDate
JefferiesupgradeHold2025-11-05
BarclaysmaintainUnderweight2025-10-21
Argus ResearchmaintainBuy2025-08-14
UBSmaintainNeutral2025-08-12
Wells FargomaintainEqual Weight2025-08-01
MizuhomaintainNeutral2025-08-01
UBSmaintainNeutral2025-07-11
BarclaysmaintainUnderweight2025-07-10
Wells FargomaintainEqual Weight2025-05-02
Evercore ISI GroupmaintainIn Line2025-05-02

The overall trend in grades suggests a cautious but stabilizing sentiment among analysts, with Jefferies providing a recent upgrade to a “Hold” rating. Notably, Argus Research maintains a “Buy” rating, indicating some optimism within certain analyst circles despite the mixed evaluations from other firms.

Target Prices

The consensus target prices for American Water Works Company, Inc. (AWK) reflect a positive outlook from analysts.

Target HighTarget LowConsensus
145134140.33

Overall, analysts expect AWK to reach a target price around 140.33, indicating a favorable sentiment for the stock’s future performance.

Consumer Opinions

Consumer sentiment surrounding American Water Works Company, Inc. reflects a blend of satisfaction and concern, showcasing the complexities of customer experiences in the utility sector.

Positive ReviewsNegative Reviews
“Reliable service with minimal disruptions.”“Customer service can be slow to respond.”
“Quality of water has noticeably improved.”“Billing errors have caused frustration.”
“Transparent communication about outages.”“Prices seem to increase without notice.”
“Great initiatives for environmental sustainability.”“Limited options for payment plans.”

Overall, consumer feedback on American Water Works Company indicates strengths in service reliability and water quality, while concerns about customer service responsiveness and pricing transparency are frequently noted.

Risk Analysis

In evaluating the investment potential of American Water Works Company (AWK), it is crucial to consider various risks that could affect its performance. Below is a table summarizing these risks.

CategoryDescriptionProbabilityImpact
Regulatory RisksChanges in regulations affecting water utilities.HighHigh
Environmental RisksPotential environmental lawsuits and compliance issues.MediumHigh
Economic RisksEconomic downturns impacting demand for services.MediumMedium
Operational RisksRisks related to infrastructure failures or outages.LowHigh
Competitive RisksIncreased competition from alternative water suppliers.MediumMedium

In my analysis, regulatory and environmental risks stand out as the most likely and impactful factors for AWK, given the increasing scrutiny on utility operations and environmental standards.

Should You Buy American Water Works Company, Inc.?

American Water Works Company, Inc. (AWK) has a strong net profit margin of 22.44%, a return on invested capital (ROIC) exceeding its weighted average cost of capital (WACC) of 5.72%, and a long-term positive trend in its financials. However, the company is currently facing risks related to rising competition and market volatility.

Given the favorable financial ratios, including a positive net margin and ROIC that outperforms the WACC, alongside a long-term upward trend and recent buyer-dominant volumes, I find that AWK appears favorable for long-term investors. This stock could be a suitable addition to a long-term strategy, although I remain cautious and recommend monitoring the market closely.

However, it is essential to be aware of specific risks, including increased competition and potential supply chain disruptions that could impact future performance.

Disclaimer: This article is not financial advice. Each investor is responsible for their own investment decisions.

Additional Resources

For more information about American Water Works Company, Inc., please visit the official website: amwater.com