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Albertsons Companies, Inc. transforms everyday living by ensuring millions of Americans have access to essential groceries, pharmacy services, and fuel through its extensive network of stores and innovative retail solutions. As a dominant player in the grocery store industry, Albertsons is renowned for its strong portfolio of well-established banners and commitment to quality and convenience. As we analyze its current position, the key question remains: do Albertsons’ fundamentals support continued growth and justify its market valuation in an evolving retail landscape?

Albertsons Companies, Inc. Analysis
Table of contents

Business Model & Company Overview

Albertsons Companies, Inc., founded in 1860 and headquartered in Boise, Idaho, stands as a leading player in the grocery retail industry across the United States. Its expansive ecosystem includes 2,276 stores under multiple banners such as Safeway and Vons, complemented by 1,722 pharmacies, 1,317 in-store coffee shops, fuel centers, manufacturing sites, and digital platforms, creating a comprehensive food and drug retail experience. This integrated network supports its core mission to serve diverse consumer needs through grocery, health, beauty, and general merchandise.

The company’s revenue engine balances brick-and-mortar retail with value-added services like pharmacy and fuel, plus proprietary food manufacturing and digital sales channels. This diversified approach drives consistent cash flow from recurring purchases and enhances customer loyalty. With a footprint spanning major US markets, Albertsons leverages distribution centers and in-house production to optimize supply and cost efficiency. Its robust presence and multifaceted operations form a durable economic moat, positioning it to shape the future of food and drug retail.

Financial Performance & Fundamental Metrics

I will analyze Albertsons Companies, Inc.’s income statement, key financial ratios, and dividend payout policy to provide a clear view of its fundamental health.

Income Statement

Below is the income statement of Albertsons Companies, Inc. (ACI) for the fiscal years 2020 through 2024, showing key financial metrics in USD.

income statement
20202021202220232024
Revenue69.7B71.9B77.6B79.2B80.4B
Cost of Revenue49.3B51.2B55.9B57.2B58.1B
Operating Expenses18.8B18.3B19.4B20.0B20.7B
Gross Profit20.4B20.7B21.8B22.0B22.3B
EBITDA3.8B4.9B4.9B4.5B4.1B
EBIT1.7B2.6B2.4B2.1B1.6B
Interest Expense534M482M405M508M470M
Net Income850M1.6B1.5B1.3B959M
EPS1.702.732.292.251.65
Filing Date2021-04-282022-04-262023-04-252024-04-222025-04-21

Income Statement Evolution

Albertsons Companies, Inc. showed overall revenue growth of 15.35% from 2020 to 2024, but growth slowed to 1.46% in the last year. Net income also increased by 12.75% over the period, yet it declined by 27.09% in the most recent year. Gross margins remained favorable at 27.68%, while EBIT and net margins showed neutral to slightly declining trends, reflecting margin pressure.

Is the Income Statement Favorable?

In 2024, revenue reached $80.4B with a gross profit of $22.3B, but EBIT dropped 23.93% year-over-year to $1.58B and net income fell to $959M, reflecting a 1.19% net margin. Interest expenses remained favorable at 0.58% of revenue. Despite solid top-line growth over five years, recent declines in profitability and margins lead to an overall unfavorable income statement evaluation for 2024.

Financial Ratios

The following table presents key financial ratios for Albertsons Companies, Inc. (ACI) over the fiscal years 2020 to 2024, reflecting profitability, liquidity, leverage, efficiency, and dividend metrics:

Ratios20202021202220232024
Net Margin1.22%2.25%1.95%1.64%1.19%
ROE64.20%53.55%93.97%47.17%28.31%
ROIC5.21%7.87%8.18%7.57%5.75%
P/E9.528.627.189.5212.44
P/B6.114.616.754.493.52
Current Ratio1.021.000.740.840.90
Quick Ratio0.390.460.180.180.22
D/E12.135.069.325.184.19
Debt-to-Assets54.67%49.74%52.19%49.45%48.39%
Interest Coverage3.035.065.704.073.29
Asset Turnover2.372.342.702.752.74
Fixed Asset Turnover4.524.715.105.105.04
Dividend Yield1.97%2.31%38.99%2.25%2.48%

Evolution of Financial Ratios

Between 2020 and 2024, Albertsons Companies, Inc. saw a fluctuating trend in its key financial ratios. Return on Equity (ROE) showed volatility but remained relatively strong, peaking around 94% in 2022 before settling at 28.31% in 2024. The Current Ratio displayed a downward trend, declining from above 1.0 to 0.9, indicating reduced short-term liquidity. The Debt-to-Equity Ratio consistently remained high, around 4.19 in 2024, suggesting sustained leverage and financial risk. Profitability margins, including net margin, generally declined, reflecting pressure on earnings.

Are the Financial Ratios Favorable?

In fiscal year 2024, profitability indicators present mixed signals: ROE is favorable at 28.31%, while net margin is low at 1.19%, deemed unfavorable. Liquidity ratios such as Current Ratio (0.9) and Quick Ratio (0.22) are unfavorable, indicating potential short-term solvency concerns. Leverage is high with a Debt-to-Equity ratio of 4.19, also unfavorable, but Debt-to-Assets remains neutral at 48.39%. Efficiency ratios like Asset Turnover (2.74) and Fixed Asset Turnover (5.04) are favorable. Market valuation metrics show positive Price-to-Earnings at 12.44 but an unfavorable Price-to-Book of 3.52. Overall, the global opinion on ratios is slightly favorable.

Shareholder Return Policy

Albertsons Companies, Inc. maintains a consistent dividend policy with a payout ratio around 30%, yielding approximately 2.5% annually. The dividend per share has shown a steady increase, supported by free cash flow coverage above 1.2x, while the company also pursues share buybacks.

This balanced approach suggests a focus on sustainable distributions and capital returns without overleveraging. Coverage metrics and controlled repurchases indicate prudent risk management, supporting long-term value creation for shareholders through stable income and disciplined capital allocation.

Score analysis

The following radar chart illustrates Albertsons Companies, Inc.’s key financial metric scores for quick comparison:

score analysis

Albertsons shows very favorable scores in discounted cash flow and return on equity at 5 each, indicating strong valuation and profitability. Return on assets and price-to-earnings scores are moderate at 3, while debt-to-equity is very unfavorable at 1, reflecting high leverage. Price-to-book is moderately rated at 2.

Analysis of the company’s bankruptcy risk

Albertsons Companies, Inc. presents an Altman Z-Score of 3.51, placing it securely in the safe zone and indicating a low probability of bankruptcy:

altman z score analysis

Is the company in good financial health?

The Piotroski Score diagram below provides insight into Albertsons Companies, Inc.’s financial strength:

piotroski f score analysis

With a Piotroski Score of 6 classified as average, the company demonstrates moderate financial health, suggesting reasonable profitability and operational efficiency but room for improvement in some areas.

Competitive Landscape & Sector Positioning

This sector analysis will examine Albertsons Companies, Inc.’s strategic positioning, revenue by segment, key products, main competitors, competitive advantages, and SWOT analysis. I will assess whether Albertsons holds a competitive advantage over other players in the grocery stores industry.

Strategic Positioning

Albertsons Companies, Inc. operates a diversified product portfolio including fresh goods (25.5B), non-perishables (40.1B), pharmacy (9.6B), fuel (4.0B), and other services (1.2B) across 2,276 stores in the US, reflecting broad geographic and category exposure within grocery and related retail sectors.

Revenue by Segment

The pie chart illustrates Albertsons Companies, Inc.’s revenue distribution by product segment for the fiscal year 2024, highlighting the company’s diversified income sources.

revenue by segment

In 2024, Non-Perishables led with $40.1B, closely followed by Fresh at $25.5B, showing stable demand in staple grocery categories. Pharmacy revenue notably increased to $9.6B, reflecting growth in health-related products. Fuel revenue declined to $4.0B, indicating a contraction in that segment. Other Products and Services remained a minor contributor at $1.2B. Overall, the revenue concentration in core grocery segments remains strong with pharmacy gains driving recent growth.

Key Products & Brands

The table below outlines Albertsons Companies, Inc.’s principal product categories and brand segments:

ProductDescription
FreshFresh food products including perishables such as produce, meat, and dairy categories.
FuelFuel sales through 402 adjacent fuel centers located near stores.
Non-PerishablesPackaged grocery items and general merchandise with longer shelf life.
PharmacyPharmacy operations including 1,722 pharmacies offering prescription and health products.
Other Products and ServicesAdditional items and services beyond core grocery and pharmacy offerings.
Store BannersOperates 2,276 stores under various brand names such as Albertsons, Safeway, Vons, and others.

Albertsons Companies generates revenue mainly from fresh and non-perishable grocery sales, supplemented by pharmacy services and fuel sales, supported by a broad multi-brand retail presence.

Main Competitors

Albertsons Companies, Inc. faces 2 main competitors in the Grocery Stores industry; below is a table of the top 2 leaders by market capitalization:

CompetitorMarket Cap.
The Kroger Co.41.7B
Albertsons Companies, Inc.9.4B

Albertsons Companies, Inc. ranks 2nd among its competitors, holding about 22% of the market cap of the top player, The Kroger Co. The company is positioned below both the average market cap of the top 10 competitors (25.6B) and the median market cap within the sector. It also trails its closest competitor by a significant distance of +345.22%.

Comparisons with competitors

Check out how we compare the company to its competitors:

Does Albertsons Companies have a competitive advantage?

Albertsons Companies, Inc. currently does not demonstrate a clear competitive advantage, as it is shedding value with ROIC below WACC, despite a slightly favorable overall moat rating. The company’s profitability is increasing with a growing ROIC trend, suggesting improving capital efficiency over the 2020-2024 period.

Looking ahead, Albertsons operates a large network of stores, pharmacies, fuel centers, and manufacturing facilities, which may offer avenues for expansion and innovation. The company’s presence across various banners and digital platforms could enable it to explore new markets and product offerings to enhance future growth opportunities.

SWOT Analysis

This SWOT analysis highlights Albertsons Companies, Inc.’s key internal and external factors to guide strategic investment decisions.

Strengths

  • Strong market position with 2,276 stores
  • Favorable ROE at 28.31%
  • Robust asset turnover ratio

Weaknesses

  • Declining EBIT and net margin growth
  • High debt-to-equity ratio at 4.19
  • Low liquidity ratios (current 0.9, quick 0.22)

Opportunities

  • Expansion of digital platforms and e-commerce
  • Growing demand for health and beauty products
  • Potential to improve operational efficiency

Threats

  • Intense competition in grocery retail
  • Economic downturn impacting consumer spending
  • Rising supply chain and labor costs

Overall, Albertsons shows solid strengths in market presence and profitability metrics but faces financial weaknesses related to margins and leverage. Strategic focus should target margin improvement and debt management while capitalizing on digital growth and consumer trends to mitigate competitive and economic risks.

Stock Price Action Analysis

The following weekly stock chart illustrates Albertsons Companies, Inc. (ACI) price movements and trends over the past 12 months:

stock price

Trend Analysis

Over the past 12 months, ACI’s stock price declined by 15.75%, indicating a bearish trend with price deceleration. The stock fluctuated between a high of 22.47 and a low of 16.66, showing moderate volatility with a standard deviation of 1.43. Recent weeks confirm continuation of this downward momentum.

Volume Analysis

In the last three months, trading volume has been increasing, with a total buyer volume of 276M versus seller volume of 240M, reflecting slight buyer dominance at 53.49%. This suggests cautious optimism among investors, with market participation strengthening but not decisively bullish.

Target Prices

The current analyst consensus for Albertsons Companies, Inc. (ACI) target prices reflects moderate upside potential.

Target HighTarget LowConsensus
291420.88

Analysts expect ACI’s share price to trade between $14 and $29, with a consensus target near $20.88, indicating cautious optimism about its near-term performance.

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Analyst & Consumer Opinions

This section reviews recent analyst ratings and consumer feedback related to Albertsons Companies, Inc. (ACI).

Stock Grades

Here is a summary of recent stock grades from established financial institutions for Albertsons Companies, Inc.:

Grading CompanyActionNew GradeDate
Morgan StanleyDowngradeUnderweight2026-01-15
UBSMaintainBuy2026-01-08
Telsey Advisory GroupMaintainOutperform2026-01-08
BarclaysMaintainUnderweight2026-01-08
Wells FargoMaintainOverweight2026-01-08
JP MorganMaintainOverweight2026-01-08
BMO CapitalMaintainOutperform2026-01-08
Telsey Advisory GroupMaintainOutperform2025-12-31
Evercore ISI GroupMaintainIn Line2025-12-23
Evercore ISI GroupMaintainIn Line2025-11-11

The consensus rating is “Buy,” supported by 11 buy recommendations against 10 holds and 2 sells. Most analysts maintain their ratings, with Morgan Stanley notably downgrading the stock to underweight, reflecting a cautious outlook.

Consumer Opinions

Albertsons Companies, Inc. (ACI) enjoys a mixed but generally positive sentiment among consumers, reflecting its strong presence in the grocery retail sector.

Positive ReviewsNegative Reviews
“Wide variety of fresh products and competitive prices.”“Checkout lines can be long during peak hours, causing delays.”
“Friendly staff and clean store environment.”“Some locations have inconsistent stock availability.”
“Good loyalty program with valuable discounts.”“Occasional issues with online order accuracy and delivery times.”

Overall, consumers appreciate Albertsons for its product variety and customer service, though some express frustration with store crowding and occasional stock or online order issues. These areas may warrant attention to enhance customer satisfaction.

Risk Analysis

Below is a summary table highlighting key risks associated with Albertsons Companies, Inc., focusing on likelihood and potential impacts:

CategoryDescriptionProbabilityImpact
Financial LeverageHigh debt-to-equity ratio (4.19) increases financial riskHighHigh
LiquidityLow current (0.9) and quick ratios (0.22) indicate liquidity constraintsMediumMedium
ProfitabilityUnfavorable net margin (1.19%) suggests thin profitabilityMediumMedium
Market VolatilityLow beta (0.308) limits stock price volatility but may reduce upsideLowLow
Competitive SectorIntense competition in grocery retail could pressure marginsMediumHigh
Operational RisksSupply chain disruptions or rising costs could impact earningsMediumMedium

The most pressing risks are Albertsons’ high financial leverage and competitive pressures, which could affect stability despite a solid Altman Z-score (3.51, safe zone). Investors should monitor debt management and margin trends carefully.

Should You Buy Albertsons Companies, Inc.?

Albertsons Companies, Inc. appears to be improving profitability with growing ROIC but may be shedding value relative to WACC, suggesting a slightly favorable moat. Despite substantial leverage and moderate financial strength scores, its overall rating of B+ suggests a cautious yet potentially promising profile.

Strength & Efficiency Pillars

Albertsons Companies, Inc. exhibits solid profitability with a return on equity (ROE) of 28.31%, reflecting effective capital use. Its Altman Z-Score of 3.51 places the company securely in the safe zone, signaling robust financial health and low bankruptcy risk. The firm’s weighted average cost of capital (WACC) stands at 3.98%, comfortably below its return on invested capital (ROIC) of 5.75%, indicating it is a value creator. Favorable asset turnover ratios (2.74) and a dividend yield of 2.48% further underscore operational efficiency and shareholder returns.

Weaknesses and Drawbacks

Despite strengths, Albertsons faces notable risks. Its debt-to-equity ratio is elevated at 4.19, categorized as very unfavorable, raising concerns about leverage and financial flexibility. Liquidity is constrained, with a current ratio at 0.9 and a quick ratio of 0.22, both unfavorable and suggesting short-term solvency pressures. The price-to-book ratio of 3.52 is also unfavorable, indicating a relatively high valuation compared to book value. Moreover, the stock has experienced a bearish overall trend with a 15.75% decline, reflecting market pressure despite a recent slight buyer dominance.

Our Verdict about Albertsons Companies, Inc.

Albertsons presents a favorable long-term fundamental profile, supported by strong profitability and financial stability metrics. However, the bearish stock trend and elevated leverage imply caution. Despite recent slight buyer dominance, the overall market pressure suggests that investors might consider a wait-and-see approach for a more attractive entry point. The company’s profile may appear suitable for disciplined investors with a tolerance for short-term volatility.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or other professional advice. Investing in financial markets involves a significant risk of loss, and past performance is not indicative of future results.

Additional Resources

For more information about Albertsons Companies, Inc., please visit the official website: albertsonscompanies.com