Every sip of Coca-Cola echoes through the daily lives of millions, making it a cornerstone of refreshment in the beverage industry. With a portfolio that spans from classic soft drinks to innovative health-oriented options, The Coca-Cola Company has established itself as a titan of non-alcoholic beverages. Its relentless pursuit of quality and innovation continues to set market trends. As we analyze its current market standing, the key question arises: do its solid fundamentals and growth potential still justify the existing market valuation?

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Table of contents

Company Description

The Coca-Cola Company, founded in 1886 and headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia, is a global leader in the non-alcoholic beverage industry. With a market capitalization of approximately 306B, it offers a diverse portfolio of products, including sparkling soft drinks, water, coffee, tea, and plant-based beverages. The company operates through a vast network of independent bottling partners and distributors, ensuring widespread market penetration across various geographic regions. Its flagship brands, such as Coca-Cola, Fanta, and Sprite, are household names. By continually innovating and adapting to consumer preferences, Coca-Cola plays a pivotal role in shaping beverage trends and promoting sustainability within the industry.

Fundamental Analysis

In this section, I’ll conduct a fundamental analysis of The Coca-Cola Company, focusing on its income statement, financial ratios, and dividend payout policy.

Income Statement

The following table provides a comprehensive overview of The Coca-Cola Company’s income statement for the past five years, illustrating key financial metrics that reflect its performance.

income statement
Metric20242023202220212020
Revenue47.06B45.75B43.00B38.66B33.01B
Cost of Revenue18.32B18.52B18.00B15.36B13.43B
Operating Expenses18.75B15.92B14.10B12.99B10.58B
Gross Profit28.74B27.23B25.00B23.30B19.58B
EBITDA15.82B15.61B13.83B15.47B12.72B
EBIT14.74B14.48B12.57B14.02B11.19B
Interest Expense1.66B1.53B0.88B1.60B1.44B
Net Income10.63B10.71B9.54B9.77B7.75B
EPS2.472.482.202.261.80
Filing Date2025-02-202024-02-202023-02-212022-02-222021-02-25

Over the past five years, Coca-Cola’s revenue has shown a steady upward trend, increasing from 33.01B in 2020 to 47.06B in 2024, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 10%. Net income has also remained relatively stable, peaking at 10.63B in 2024, indicating a robust demand for its products. The gross profit margin has slightly improved, suggesting better cost management. In 2024, despite rising operating expenses, the company maintained its profitability, demonstrating resilience in a competitive environment. Overall, the outlook remains positive, although investors should monitor potential risks related to market conditions and cost inflation.

Financial Ratios

Below is a summary of key financial ratios for The Coca-Cola Company (KO) over the last five fiscal years.

Ratios20202021202220232024
Net Margin23.5%25.3%22.2%23.4%22.6%
ROE24.1%20.5%20.6%21.6%20.2%
ROIC13.5%12.1%11.5%12.4%11.8%
P/E30.426.128.923.825.2
P/B12.211.111.49.810.8
Current Ratio1.321.131.151.131.03
Quick Ratio1.090.960.930.950.84
D/E2.301.921.681.671.84
Debt-to-Assets50.9%46.9%43.8%44.4%45.5%
Interest Coverage6.266.4512.47.416.03
Asset Turnover0.380.410.460.470.47
Fixed Asset Turnover3.063.904.374.954.10
Dividend Yield3.0%2.8%2.8%3.1%3.1%

Interpretation of Financial Ratios

In 2024, Coca-Cola’s financial ratios exhibit a mixed performance. The net margin of 22.6% suggests solid profitability, yet the declining ROE of 20.2% raises concerns about shareholder returns. Additionally, the high P/E ratio of 25.2 indicates potentially overvalued stock prices relative to earnings, while a current ratio below 1 indicates potential liquidity issues.

Evolution of Financial Ratios

Over the past five years, Coca-Cola has shown a gradual decline in net margin and ROE, indicating a potential decrease in profitability and efficiency. However, the interest coverage ratio remains stable, suggesting the company can manage its debt obligations effectively despite the rising debt-to-equity ratio.

Distribution Policy

The Coca-Cola Company (KO) maintains a robust dividend policy, with a current payout ratio of approximately 78.6% and a steady annual dividend yield of about 3.12%. The dividend per share has shown consistent growth, reflecting the company’s commitment to returning value to shareholders. Additionally, KO engages in share buybacks, further signaling confidence in its financial health. However, investors should monitor the sustainability of these distributions in light of potential economic fluctuations. Overall, this distribution approach appears supportive of long-term value creation for shareholders.

Sector Analysis

The Coca-Cola Company operates in the non-alcoholic beverage industry, offering a diverse portfolio of drinks while facing competition from major brands like PepsiCo and Nestlé. Its competitive advantages include strong brand recognition, extensive distribution networks, and innovative product development.

Strategic Positioning

The Coca-Cola Company (KO) holds a significant market share in the non-alcoholic beverage sector, driven by its diverse product portfolio including iconic brands like Coca-Cola, Sprite, and Fanta. With a market cap of approximately $306B, Coca-Cola faces competitive pressure from both traditional soda brands and emerging health-focused beverages. Technological advancements in distribution and sustainability practices are reshaping the industry landscape, pushing Coca-Cola to innovate continuously. The company’s relatively low beta of 0.398 indicates less volatility compared to the broader market, which may appeal to risk-averse investors.

Revenue by Segment

The following pie chart illustrates the revenue breakdown by segment for The Coca-Cola Company for the fiscal year 2024.

revenue by segment

In FY 2024, the Pacific segment remained the primary revenue driver, generating 38.8B, reflecting a steady growth trend. Bottling investments contributed 6.2B, while Global Ventures added 3.1B. Notably, the Corporate Segment showed minimal revenue at 97M. The overall performance indicates a solid foundation in the Pacific region, although the growth rate may face pressures due to market saturation and competition. The slight decline in Bottling investments could signal potential concentration risks if not managed effectively in future quarters.

Key Products

The Coca-Cola Company offers a diverse range of beverages that cater to various consumer preferences. Below is a table summarizing some of the key products:

ProductDescription
Coca-ColaThe flagship carbonated soft drink known for its classic taste.
Diet CokeA sugar-free version of Coca-Cola, offering a lighter alternative.
Coca-Cola Zero SugarA zero-calorie soft drink that maintains the classic Coca-Cola flavor.
Fanta OrangeA fruity, orange-flavored soda popular among younger consumers.
SpriteA lemon-lime flavored soda, caffeine-free and refreshing.
DasaniBottled water brand known for its clean taste and convenience.
Minute MaidA line of juices and juice drinks, including orange and apple varieties.
PoweradeA sports drink designed to hydrate and replenish electrolytes.
Costa CoffeeA premium coffee brand offering a range of coffee beverages and products.
BODYARMORA sports drink enriched with vitamins and coconut water.

These products reflect Coca-Cola’s strategy to diversify its offerings and cater to varying consumer tastes and health considerations.

Main Competitors

In the competitive landscape of the non-alcoholic beverage industry, The Coca-Cola Company faces several formidable rivals. Below is a table of the main competitors based on their market share:

CompanyMarket Share
PepsiCo, Inc.24%
Nestlé S.A.15%
The Coca-Cola Company12%

The non-alcoholic beverage sector is highly competitive, with Coca-Cola holding a significant market share alongside PepsiCo and Nestlé. The competition primarily operates in the global market, where consumer preferences continue to evolve toward healthier beverage options.

Competitive Advantages

The Coca-Cola Company (KO) boasts significant competitive advantages, including its extensive brand portfolio and global distribution network. With a market cap of $306.25B, KO benefits from strong consumer loyalty and a wide range of products, from sparkling beverages to plant-based options. Looking ahead, the company is poised to capitalize on emerging markets and health-conscious trends, launching new products that cater to evolving consumer preferences. This adaptability positions KO favorably for sustained growth and profitability in the dynamic beverage industry.

SWOT Analysis

The purpose of this analysis is to evaluate the strengths, weaknesses, opportunities, and threats facing The Coca-Cola Company (KO) in the current market environment.

Strengths

  • Strong brand recognition
  • Diverse product portfolio
  • Global distribution network

Weaknesses

  • Dependency on carbonated drinks
  • Vulnerability to commodity price fluctuations
  • Limited growth in mature markets

Opportunities

  • Expansion into healthier beverage options
  • Growing demand for plant-based products
  • Emerging markets growth potential

Threats

  • Intense competition in the beverage industry
  • Regulatory challenges
  • Changing consumer preferences

Overall, the SWOT assessment indicates that while Coca-Cola possesses significant strengths and opportunities, it must navigate several weaknesses and external threats. A focus on diversifying its product offerings and expanding in emerging markets could solidify its competitive position.

Stock Analysis

Over the past year, The Coca-Cola Company’s stock (KO) has demonstrated significant price movements, culminating in a bullish trend characterized by a notable increase of 22.02%. The trading dynamics reflect a robust performance and an acceleration in price movements.

stock price

Trend Analysis

Analyzing the price change over the past year, KO’s stock has appreciated by 22.02%. This percentage change indicates a bullish trend, supported by notable highs of $73.00 and lows of $58.28. The trend shows acceleration, with a standard deviation of 4.43, suggesting some volatility in the stock’s price movements.

Volume Analysis

Examining the trading volumes over the last three months reveals an average volume of approximately 81.51M shares. The activity appears to be seller-driven, with average sell volume at 42.73M shares compared to an average buy volume of 38.78M shares. Furthermore, the volume trend is currently bearish, indicating deceleration with a trend slope of -860688.15. This suggests a cautious investor sentiment as market participation may be waning.

Analyst Opinions

Recent analyst recommendations for The Coca-Cola Company (KO) indicate a consensus rating of “Buy.” Analysts, including those from reputable firms, have assigned a B+ rating, highlighting strengths in discounted cash flow, return on equity, and return on assets. Specifically, the firm’s solid financial metrics suggest robust performance potential despite a lower score in price-to-earnings and price-to-book ratios. Caution is advised, but the overall sentiment leans positively towards KO as a viable addition to investment portfolios in 2025.

Stock Grades

The latest stock ratings for The Coca-Cola Company (KO) reflect a consistent positive outlook among several reputable grading firms.

Grading CompanyActionNew GradeDate
B of A SecuritiesmaintainBuy2025-11-07
BarclaysmaintainOverweight2025-10-23
TD CowenmaintainBuy2025-10-22
Wells FargomaintainOverweight2025-10-22
Piper SandlermaintainOverweight2025-10-22
Wells FargomaintainOverweight2025-09-25
UBSmaintainBuy2025-09-11
JP MorganmaintainOverweight2025-07-23
UBSmaintainBuy2025-07-23
BNP ParibasmaintainOutperform2025-07-21

Overall, the trend in grades for Coca-Cola shows a stable and optimistic sentiment, with multiple firms maintaining their positive recommendations. This reflects strong confidence in the company’s performance and market position.

Target Prices

The consensus target price for The Coca-Cola Company (KO) indicates a balanced outlook from analysts.

Target HighTarget LowConsensus
827679

Overall, analysts expect the stock to stabilize around the consensus price of 79, reflecting a moderate growth outlook.

Consumer Opinions

Consumer sentiment about The Coca-Cola Company is a blend of enthusiasm and critique, reflecting the diverse experiences of its customers.

Positive ReviewsNegative Reviews
“Refreshing taste that I love every time!”“Too much sugar in their drinks.”
“Great variety of flavors available.”“Prices have been rising consistently.”
“Iconic brand that never disappoints.”“Customer service could be improved.”
“Sustainability efforts are commendable.”“I wish they offered more low-calorie options.”

Overall, consumer feedback reveals strong appreciation for Coca-Cola’s flavor variety and brand reliability, while concerns about sugar content and rising prices are frequently noted.

Risk Analysis

In evaluating The Coca-Cola Company’s potential investments, it’s crucial to consider various risks that may impact performance. Below is a summary of identified risks:

CategoryDescriptionProbabilityImpact
Market RiskFluctuations in consumer preferences and behaviors.HighHigh
Regulatory RiskChanges in health regulations affecting product sales.MediumHigh
Supply Chain RiskDisruptions in raw material supply affecting production.HighMedium
Currency RiskExchange rate volatility impacting international sales.MediumMedium
Competition RiskIncreased competition from emerging beverage brands.HighMedium

The most likely and impactful risks revolve around market dynamics and regulatory changes, which have significant implications for Coca-Cola’s sales and profitability. The beverage industry is highly competitive, and consumer preferences can shift rapidly, necessitating a proactive approach to risk management.

Should You Buy The Coca-Cola Company?

The Coca-Cola Company (KO) boasts a solid net profit margin of 22.59%, a return on invested capital (ROIC) of 19.59%, and a weighted average cost of capital (WACC) of 5.28%. Its flagship products continue to dominate the beverage market, while recent risks include increased competition and supply chain challenges.

Given that the net profit margin is positive and substantially exceeds the WACC, alongside a favorable long-term trend and strong buyer volumes, I find the current setup appears favorable for long-term investors looking to add KO to their portfolios. However, I recommend monitoring market conditions closely, as recent trends indicate seller dominance in buyer behavior.

Specific risks to consider include intensified competition and market dependence on consumer preferences, which could impact future revenue growth.

Disclaimer: This article is not financial advice. Each investor is responsible for their own investment decisions.

Additional Resources

For more information about The Coca-Cola Company, please visit the official website: coca-colacompany.com